Trading Strategy

16

Nov

Global markets are looking resilient after early falls Monday following a series of coordinated terrorist attacks in Paris that left at least 132 people dead.

What is it? Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation

What is it? It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.

When? At 7:30pm Eastern Time. 

Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the AUD to rise.

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What is it? It's a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.

When? At 8:30am Eastern Time. 

Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.

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What is it? As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.

When? At 5:15am Eastern Time. 

Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the EUR to rise.

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The euro fell to six-and-a-half month lows against the yen on Monday, and was also weaker against the dollar and the pound after terror attacks in Paris hit risk sentiment.

EUR/JPY fell to lows of 130.66, the lowest level since April 29, and was last at 131.92.

Demand for safe haven assets was boosted after attackers killed more than 130 people in Paris on Friday, prompting retaliatory French air strikes against Islamic State in Syria.

The single currency was already under pressure from heightened expectations that the European Central Bank will enlarge its stimulus program, aimed at boosting price growth in the euro area, before the years end.

ECB President Mario Draghi was to speak at an event in Madrid later in the day.

The yen showed little reaction after data showing that Japan’s economy contracted at an annual rate of 0.8% in the three months to September, after a 1.2% contraction in the previous quarter, putting the country into a technical recession.

The weak data added to pressure on the Bank of Japan to step up monetary easing measures to shore up growth.

EUR/USD hit lows of 1.0688, not far from the seven-month lows of 1.0673 set early last week, and was last at 1.0736, off 0.34% for the day.

EUR/GBP hit low of 0.7023, the weakest level since August 7 and was last at 0.7066, little changed for the day.

The dollar moved higher against the yen, with USD/JPY rising 0.18% to 122.82.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.27% to 99.15.

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