Trading Strategy

What is it? It checks the level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers.

Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

When? February 13^th at 10:00am Eastern Time.

If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.

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What is it? It checks change in the total value of sales made by manufacturers.

It's a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.

When? February 13^th at 8:30am Eastern Time.

If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.

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During today’s early trading session, the Nikkei reached 17,979, a 1.9% increase, its highest level in 7 and a half years. This rally came after Japanese data showed that yearly and monthly Core Machinery Orders had risen more than expected. Over the past year the Yen has continued to weaken and in turn boosted exporters such as Toyota and Sony. Following the release of the Australian Employment Change the AUD weakened against a basket of currencies after the report showed a decline of 12.2k.

During the European trading session, the British pound rallied against the Dollar after positive reports from the UK The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, stated today “it is now more likely that CPI inflation will dip briefly below zero at some point in the first half of 2015”, but pointed out that there was “no threat of deflation”. Carney also said, “The take-home pay is expected to grow at its fastest pace in a decade”.

During early US trade the Dollar index dropped to 11,836 after negative data. The US Core Retail sales, Retail Sales and Jobless claims all showed worse than expected results. The number of individuals who filed for unemployment during the past week showed 304,000, above the expected figure of 285,000 and Retail sales dropped 0.8%. The Euro remains steady against the Dollar after no compromise has yet been reached in regards to the extension of the current bailout agreement.

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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:

1) Ukraine Ceasefire

There could be light at the end of the tunnel for war-torn Ukraine.

Leaders from Ukraine, Russia, France and Germany have agreed on a ceasefire that's due to start Sunday. Those involved in the bloody conflict in Eastern Ukraine have agreed to pull back heavy weapons.

The main stock market index in Ukraine is surging by about 6%.

The new ceasefire agreement is raising hopes that tensions between Western nations and Russia could ease, since the US and Europe have accused Russia of supporting separatist fighters in Eastern Ukraine.

This comes just hours after the International Monetary Fund announced it would give Ukraine a new $17.5 billion bailout package to help stabilize the nation's reeling economy.

2) Greece is the Word

European political leaders will continue negotiating a deal aimed at ensuring Greece can repay its debts and remain in the Eurozone.

Little progress was made during talks between finance ministers on Wednesday. European leaders are expected to continue discussing the issues Thursday, while finance ministers will resume their negotiations Monday.

The goal is to avert a new crisis that could force Greece to drop the euro.

Greece's new government says it wants to tear up the existing international bailout program and win six months of bridge financing to give it breathing space to negotiate a longer term solution.

The current bailout program is set to end on February 28.

3) Stocks Rising

US stock futures and European markets are moving higher Thursday. The main stock market index in Germany -- the Dax -- is rising by more than 1%.

Most Asian markets ended the day with gains.

4) Wednesday Market Recap

The main US indexes posted muted results Wednesday. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 7 points, the S&P 500 was unchanged and the Nasdaq rose by 0.3%

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What is it? Governor Stevens is due to testify before the House of Representatives' Standing Committee on Economics, in Canberra.

As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.

When? February 12^th at 5:30pm Eastern Time.

If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the AUD to rise.

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