Daily Video Review - 10/08
- Donald Herison
- English
- MARKETS NEWS
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
There aren't many people in the world who can single-handedly move markets. But Warren Buffett is one of them.
1) The Buffett effect
Shares in airplane parts manufacturer Precision Castparts (PCP) are rising by about 13% premarket on expectations that Warren Buffett's firm Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) is set to buy the company.
There are reports saying the deal could be worth more than $30 billion.
Berkshire already holds a 3% stake in the company, which is based in Portland, Oregon.
2) Crude collapse
The price of oil touched its lowest point of the year this weekend, briefly dropping to about $43.40 per barrel. Crude has recovered slightly but is still trading below $44 per barrel.
The price of oil has declined by nearly 30% since mid-June.
3) Summer slowdown
It's relatively calm across other global markets.
U.S. stock futures are holding steady, and the U.S. dollar is rising against a range of other currencies.
European markets are slipping in early trading.
Asian markets ended with mixed results, with Chinese stocks surging. The Shanghai Composite shot up nearly 5% Monday after enduring some extreme volatility over the past few months.
4) Earnings updates
There are a handful of major firms reporting earnings after the closing bell, including Kraft Heinz (KHC) and Shake Shack (SHAK).
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What is it? It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.
When? At 9:30pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the AUD to rise.
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What is it? Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
When? At 12:25pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the USD to rise.
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1) U.S. employment rose at a solid clip in July and wages rebounded after a surprise stall in the prior month, signs of an improving economy that could open the door wider to a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September.
Nonfarm payrolls increased 215,000 last month, fewer than the 223,000 forecast by economists, but the unemployment rate held at a seven-year low of 5.3 percent. Average hourly earnings also increased last month after stalling in June.
2) U.S. stocks opened lower on Friday after data showed steady job growth in July, increasing the chances Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September.
3) The dollar moved broadly higher against the other major currencies on Friday, even after data showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose less than expected last month, while average hourly earnings increased in line with projections.
EUR/USD dropped 0.49% to 1.0874.
4) The dollar gained and Wall Street stock futures extended losses as U.S. jobs data came near enough to expectations to bolster bets the Federal Reserve will raise rates for the first time in nearly a decade this year.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
Get ready for the U.S. jobs report, the single most important economic release of the month.
1) Jobs report
The federal government is releasing its much-anticipated July employment report at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Reaction to the report could move stocks and currency markets around the world.
The expectation is that the Labor Department will say that 216,000 new jobs were created last month. That would be a slight drop off from June when the economy added 223,000 jobs. But ultimately, anything over 200,000 is considered a "good" number, indicating a healthy economy.
Experts expect the unemployment rate to stay steady at 5.3%. When it dropped to that level in June, it was the lowest rate since April 2008.
Year-over-year wage growth is expected to increase to 2.1%, up from 2% in the last report.
The Federal Reserve will keep a close eye on the new numbers. The central bank has been hinting at a rate increase for months, and a strong jobs report could clear the way for that hike to happen in September.
2) Stock slump
U.S. stock futures are holding steady ahead of the jobs report.
If the Dow Jones industrial average posts another fall Friday, that would mark the seventh consecutive trading day of declines.
The Dow has dipped by 2.3% since the start of the year. But the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are still in positive territory over the same period.
Asian markets ended with mixed results. Meanwhile, European markets are mostly declining in early trading.
"Disappointing French and German industrial production figures, posted before European markets started trading, have ensured a dominance of red on trading screens," explained Alastair McCaig, a London-based market analyst at the broker IG.
Greek markets are stabilizing after a week of heavy losses.
3) Market mover
Nvidia: Shares in Nvidia (NVDA, Tech30), a graphics company, are shooting up by about 10% premarket after the firm released better-than-expected earnings Thursday night.
4) Earnings
Quarterly earnings from companies including Hershey (HSY), Sotheby's (BID), Cablevision (CVC) and Groupon (GRPN) are coming out ahead of the open.
After the close, Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) will report results. The company -- led by billionaire Warren Buffett -- is the fourth largest company in the U.S. and has invested significantly in Kraft Heinz (KHC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Coca-Cola (KO).
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What is it? This is the earliest data related to labor inflation. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010. It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
When? At 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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