Markets are seeing mixed trading today as fresh economic data continue to flow.
Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for.
Markets are seeing mixed trading today as fresh economic data continue to flow.
Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for.
1. Inflation data sets the tone
The Commerce Department will publish inflation figures for August at 12:30 GMT on Thursday. Market analysts expect consumer prices to advance by 0.3%, while core inflation is forecast to rise 0.2%.
On a yearly base, core CPI is projected to ease up 1.6%, from the prior month’s 1.7% increase. Core prices are viewed by the Federal Reserve as a better gauge of longer-term inflationary pressure because they exclude the volatile food and energy categories. The central bank usually tries to aim for 2% core inflation or less.
Markets remain skeptical the Fed will raise rates again before the end of this year due to worries over the subdued inflation outlook, but it is widely expected to give an announcement on September 20 about beginning the process of reducing its balance sheet.
Fed fund futures price in only a 42% chance that the U.S. central bank will raise rates by the end of the year. Ahead of the publication, he U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, dropped 0.05% at 91.84 by 10:00 GMT.
2. Eyes on the Bank of England
The Bank of England will announce its rate decision at 11:00 GMT on Thursday. Most economists expect the central bank to keep rates at their record low as a struggling economy and Brexit fears offset any concerns over inflation sailing well above target.
However, some BoE policymakers have started to call for higher interest rates in the months ahead due to the recent surge in inflation, which was caused largely by the plunge in sterling following last year's Brexit vote.
BoE members Michael Saunders and Ian McCafferty are expected to repeat their dissent, preferring to increase interest rates and all eyes are on chief economist Andy Haldane to see if he adds his vote to the group.
3. China slowdown raise concerns
Weaker-than-expected data out from China on Thursday revived worries over the slowdown in the world’s second largest economy.
Fixed-asset investment, a key growth driver for the world's second-largest economy, grew 7.8% in January-August from a year earlier, the weakest pace since December 1999 and cooling from 8.3% in January-July.
Industrial production and retail sales also grew less than anticipated in August, slowing down from prior readings. Analysts had widely expected China's August data to show industrial output and retail sales growth had accelerated after fading slightly in July.
4. Global stocks mixed
Global stocks showed mixed trade as disappointing data out of China Thursday weighed on sentiment and investors looked ahead to inflation data stateside along with the monetary policy decision by the Bank of England.
After Wall Street closed again at record highs, U.S. futures pointed to a slightly lower open as investors took profit and looked ahead to price indicators.
Elsewhere, European stock markets were mixed on Thursday, weighed down by weaker miners. Earlier, Asian shares closed broadly lower as disappointing Chinese data weighs.
Oil continued higher on Wednesday for a fourth consecutive day, pushing weekly gains past 4%, as bullish indicators helped prices recover.
On Wednesday, the International Energy Agency said global oil supplies fell for the first time in four months in August, while also revising its 2017 oil demand estimate up to 1.6 million barrels a day from its July estimate of 1.5 million. Also on Wednesday, official U.S. data showed a record drop in gasoline inventories.