Trump administration puts dollar in danger along with the whole American economy.
Trump administration puts dollar in danger along with the whole American economy.
Brexit hits new fields.
After Brexit vote was over and everyone saw the alleged readiness of th4e British people to go away from the united Europe and into the self-standing we surely knew that there are going to be casualties along the way. A lot of industries along with banks were going to make decision to walk away from the UK. Lives of tens of thousands of people is going to get way more complicated. But now that we see the outcome as the end of the process is getting closer and closer we can’t really believe the scale of the damage. And now as the new set of numbers is put together there is another reason for us to get worried.
Traders know, that right now is not the best time to invest into the British economy and British manufacturers. Although after Brexit the situation in out opinion can change rapidly. Of course, economy of Great Britain is going to take severe hits in the beginning but after some resemblance of stability is going to come there may be a lot of new attractive offers on the table. But right now, even once profitable industries are a hazard. For example, car industry of the UK. Until Brexit it was thriving but right now investment is cut by about 50 percent. In normal circumstance it would look like the segment of the industry is dying out but, in our case, there is still hope.
As we stated already after such a hit the British are going to need assets in order to revive their industries. It is doubtful that they will be able to do that themselves so interesting offers are going to pour into the market. High interest rates, easy profits, promises for easy withdrawal and good percentage. If all of this works, markets are going to go crazy over a possible growth. But for that to work British economists are going to work hard on the strategy. They may even be able to attract new brain power to the country. All of the hope is coming out of Brexit. We understand that hits given to the economy will probably be stronger than the possible stimulus, but one can always hope, right?
Will oil break $80 per barrel?
There is a lot of uncertainty going on in the oil market right now. We hoped that OPEC meeting would put everything in its own places, but it seems that the prices are going to sort themselves out. We can clearly see this now because there is neither a sell-out nor the big buy out going on for oil. And the prices are still wobbling. Although today just like yesterday we can see gains in the sector and nothing is done for the artificial growth. So, it is all natural. Maybe it is just time for the prices to grow?
Right now, the biggest uncertainty in the market in Libyan output. Canada and Russia have already settled all of the questions the had with the crude. Although conflicts inside Libya may come in the way of the output growth. But with the current performance there is really not that much to do. Only buy.
The deal is that if the prices are balancing themselves out then it is only a matter of time before they start to fall again. And who knows whether Libyan question is going to be settled by that time. Right now, there is nothing to the question that might be an indicator that the prices are going to go down. We think that for at least the next several days we will watch oil rise. A perfect opportunity for traders.
Market is unpredictable place. Sometimes it requires no meddling in order to find the perfect balance for the participants of the trades. And this example with oil is the perfect opportunity for us to watch and learn. OPEC meeting did more harm in its anticipation than on the outcome. So maybe it is the wat of telling us that there is no use in fear. After all oil is more or less stable with one of the best performances among commodities for the past several months.
Why is dollar losing?
Not so long ago dollar had a stellar performance, rising to the year-high point. But today it is not as good. After greenback took a tumble in the middle of last week it has been trying to retrieve the points, although all was in vain. Right now, fear is much stronger than the hopes. And even though the officials are trying to ensure people that the anticipation of the fall has not much ground underneath, investors are not listening. And neither are we.
Trump hasn’t been the most stable ruler. No one can state that the effort he puts into the American economy is paying out. He makes investors and political partners flee. And we agree with everyone who ran away. Would you believe an administration who with one hand imposes new tariffs on trade partners and with the other says that there will be no restrictions for the import? That is a lie. And we see right through it. It seems that the US want to gain new partners and get them to sign papers only to impose tariffs and trap their new associates.
Again, there is no actual confirmation of the fact, but we wouldn’t go out and say that it is simply impossible for that to happen. What do you think is going to happen to the economy if such country? And to the currency. The fact is that the future doesn’t look to bright for the greenback. Every statement of the administration’s official makes it lose points. That seems quite moody as for the strong currency.
And it is not only dollar that has been in the red zone for the last couple of days. Various shares and indices are also going down. And if the situation doesn’t change and have clarity in the nearest future the economy of the USA can damage the stability of the whole world.