What is it? It checks the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy.
When? April 9th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is lower than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the change in the total value of new building permits issued.
It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building.
When? April 9th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the interest rate at which the BOE lends to financial institutions overnight.
Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future.
When? April 9th at 7:00am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the GBP to rise.
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During the early trading session the Yen rose against the Dollar following the Bank of Japan press conference. BoJ officials kept its stimulus program unchanged as board members stated that “Japan’s economy is expected to continue its moderate recovery trend”. Furthermore, the Nikkei share average rose to its highest level in 15 years, closing at 19.789, as the BoJ kept its stance to expand the monetary base at an annual pace of 80 trillion Yen. The Nikkei has so far gained 3% this month, with a majority of investment coming from two new equity investment trusts.
The Euro gained ground against the Dollar following yesterday’s plunge. The previous day the EUR/USD dropped to 1.08 as the deadline for Greece to reach an agreement with their creditors nears, furthermore, positive mixed European PMI data and a positive U.S. JOLTs Job Openings report continued to weigh on the Euro. The pair reached oversold territory and is now rebounding slightly, testing resistance at 1.089.
During early U.S. trade, the Dollar Index declined as market spectators await the FOMC Meeting Minutes taking place later today at 19:00 GMT. Negative sentiment weighs over whether the Fed will wait longer before implementing an interest rate hike. weak Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday highlighted earlier comments made by Fed Chair Janet Yellen that a future rate hike will be based on an improving labor market.
Oil continues to move close to yesterday’s high but with bearish sentiment following a 6% surge in price. The commodity is currently trading above $52/barrel as Saudi Arabia pushed up the price over increased demand from Asia. However, the price could decline following a U.S. API Weekly Crude stock report which showed that inventory levels of US Crude oil rose 12.200M. Later today the U.S. will release another report for Crude oil inventories.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Big deal for Big Oil
Shares in oil major Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB) are dropping by about 6% in London after the company said it inked a $70 billion deal to buy British oil and gas firm, BG Group (BRGYY). Shell is offering a 50% premium for the purchase.
Traders reacted by bidding up BG shares by about 38%.
Shares in BG have fallen by about 30% over the past year, tracking a sharp drop in crude oil prices. Shell clearly saw this as an opportunity to snap up a smaller company for a better price.
"The imperative now becomes for management to convince the market of the financial implications: near term earnings dilution; a significantly more levered balance sheet; and a higher priority for debt reduction versus dividends," wrote analysts at Jefferies International.
2. Focus on the Fed
U.S. investors are eagerly awaiting the 2 p.m. ET release of the Federal Reserve's minutes from its latest meeting. Wall Streeters like to parse through the details of the document in an effort to get a better sense of when the Fed may begin raising interest rates.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan was in the spotlight Wednesday after it left monetary policy unchanged.
"Governor Kuroda indicated that the Board doesn't see the need for additional stimulus at the moment," said Capital Economics' Marcel Thieliant. "However, Mr Kuroda has a record of springing surprises and we still expect policymakers to step up the pace of easing at the end of the month."
The Bank of Japan is currently in the midst of a massive stimulus program that is pumping the economy with cash, deflating the currency and aiming to boost inflation.
3. Global market overview
U.S. stock futures are looking solid, European markets are mostly rising in early trading, and Asian markets ended with mixed results.
Crude oil futures are dipping by about 2% to trade around $53 per barrel.
Investors in Europe are continuing to watch the ongoing Greek drama as they worry the country may be on the brink of default.
Greece's prime minister is heading to Moscow Wednesday to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin and there's a chance Putin might offer help in the form of cheaper gas. Greece is facing a big debt payment this week, but the government has reassured markets that it has the money to pay and avoid default.
4. Earnings
A trickle of earnings are set to come through Wednesday. Family Dollar (FDO) and Rite Aid (RAD) are reporting quarterly results ahead of the open.
Alcoa (AA) and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) will report after the close.
The earnings will really start flowing next week when we'll hear from big banks including Citigroup (C) and Goldman Sachs (GS).
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What is it? It's a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates.
When? April 8th at 2:00pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the USD to rise.
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During today’s early trading session, Asian stocks traded higher over concerns that the Fed may wait longer before increasing the interest rate. Investors looked to the stock markets after weak Nonfarm Payrolls backed earlier comments made by Chair Janet Yellen that a future rate hike will be based on an improving labour market. The Nikkei share average was up by 1.25%, closing at 19,640, Its highest level in nearly 2 weeks. Following strong data from Australia, the AUD/USD rallied after the Retail sales for the month of February showed a higher than expected reading of 0.7%. The pair reached 0.771 during early trade, its highest level this month.
During the European session the Euro plunged against a basket of major currencies as the deadline over Greece nears, if the nation does not reach an agreement with its creditors by the end of April then the country could go into default. The Euro continued to drop after negative data from the Eurozone showed weaker than expected figures for both the Marki Composite PMI and Services PMI. Furthermore, the British pound strengthened against the weaker Euro following positive data from the UK. The Services Purchasing Managers Index showed a higher reading of 58.9, above the expected figure of 57 indicating expansion in the services sector.
Oil continues to move close to yesterday’s high following a 6% surge in price. USOil is currently trading above $51/barrel as Saudi Arabia pushed up the price over increased demand from Asia. Furthermore, market spectators looked ahead to U.S. inventories reports, it is expected that production will reach its peak during the month of April.
Traders are now awaiting the Bank of Japan press conference tomorrow at 7:30 GMT and the FOMC Meeting Minutes taking place at 19:00 GMT. Officials speaking at these events could provide clues on future monetary policies.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Potential market movers -- FedEx, GM
Shares in FedEx (FDX) could see higher-than-normal trading volume after the company announced a €4.4 billion ($4.8 billion) deal to purchase its Dutch competitor, TNT Express. Shares in TNT shot up by about 31% in Amsterdam on Tuesday.
The acquisition comes two years after UPS (UPS) withdrew its offer to buy TNT after the European Union blocked that deal due to competition concerns.
Shares in General Motors (GM) are nudging lower ahead of the open after the Canadian government announced it had sold its remaining $2.7 billion stake in the automaker. The government had bought shares in the company during the depths of the recession in a move to save GM manufacturing jobs.
2. Stable Samsung?
Samsung's (SSNLF) sales and profits appear to be stabilizing, raising hopes that the South Korean electronics giant will emerge from its smartphone-induced funk.
Samsung said Tuesday that it anticipates an operating profit of 5.9 trillion won ($5.4 billion) for January to March. That's a 31% decline from the previous year, but the strongest number in three quarters.
Shares in the company slipped 0.5% after the announcement.
3. Indecisive stocks
U.S. stock futures are not making any big moves ahead of the open, after swinging around Monday and closing with gains.
On Monday, the Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 each rose by 0.7%. The Nasdaq also jumped by 0.6%.
A sharp jump in oil prices helped lift stocks yesterday. But crude futures are currently sliding, down by about 1.5% to trade around $51.40 per barrel.
4. International markets overview
European markets are rallying in early trading, playing catch up with the U.S.
Investors are also feeling confident after the final reading of purchasing managers' sentiment for March -- published by Markit -- showed the economy continued to gain strength last month.
"Whether the eurozone economy has achieved escape velocity to enjoy a return to a strong and sustainable recovery remains uncertain, but the region is certainly seeing its best growth momentum since 2011," said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit.
Meanwhile, most Asian markets closed the day with gains. Hong Kong's stock market was closed for a public holiday.
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What is it? It's among the primary tools the BOJ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions.
When? April 7th - Tentative.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the JPY to rise.
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What is it? It checks the number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry.
It's released late, but can impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment.
When? April 7th at 10:00am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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During today’s early trading session, Asian stocks traded slightly lower but with little volatility as markets in China, Australia, New Zealand, Europe and the UK closed for the Easter holiday. Market spectators also remain cautious over the indefinite deal on Iran’s nuclear program.
On Friday the Euro jumped against the Dollar following the release of U.S. jobs data. The release of the Nonfarm Payrolls showed a significantly lower than expected figure, which was forecast at 245,000. During the month of March 126,000 more people were employed, this negative data added to concerns that the Fed will delay an interest rate increase. Earlier comments made by Fed Chair Janet Yellen indicated that a future rate hike will be based on an improving labour market. The EUR/USD is trading close to Fridays high but with little movement due to market closure, the pair is currently testing support at 1.095 and resistance at 1.102. The Dollar could weaken over the mid-term as negative sentiment weighs over future monetary policy decisions.
Traders are now awaiting the release of the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and the Canadian Ivey PMI taking place later today, however, we expect to see higher reaction and trading volumes when markets reopen tomorrow.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Stocks set to slide
U.S. stock futures are firmly in negative territory as investors get ready to react to the disappointing U.S. jobs report, which was released on Friday when markets were closed.
The monthly jobs report showed only 126,000 jobs were added in March, the lowest since December 2013 and well below the 244,000 new jobs expected by economists.
The unemployment rate remained stable at 5.5%.
2. Show me the money!
Despite continual talk about its difficult financial situation, Greece said it has enough money to make a crucial debt payment this week to the International Monetary Fund.
Greece needs to pay the IMF about 460 million euros ($505 million) this week, but some were concerned the country wouldn't come up with the money.
European traders are expected to react to this latest Greek development on Tuesday when markets reopen after the long weekend.
Greece needs to repay its loans or risks stumbling out of the eurozone.
3. Crude recovery
Oil futures are climbing ahead of the open, recovering from a dip last week as traders worried about Iran soon ramping up its oil production.
Crude is rising by about 3% to trade around $50.50 per barrel.
The U.S. and other world powers reached a tentative agreement last week that would see Iran scale back its nuclear capabilities, which would lead to a lifting of international sanctions. These sanctions have kept Iran from pumping and exporting its vast oil reserves.
4. Thursday market recap
All major U.S. indexes finished last week with small gains ahead of the long Easter weekend.
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What is it? It checks the change in the total value of sales at the retail level.
It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
When? April 6th at 9:30pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the AUD to rise.
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