What is it? It checks the change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level.
It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase.
When? March 18th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Monday momentum
Most European markets are rising in early trade, with Germany's DAX pushing above 12,000 points for the first time, as the newly-launched money printing program by the European Central Bank continues to support stocks. The DAX is the world's hottest market so far this year.
U.S. stock futures are also gaining ground.
2. China boost
The Shanghai Composite gained more than 2%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose by 0.5%, as China's Premier Li Keqiang promised to press ahead with economic reforms, and reiterated that the government had plenty of options to bolster growth if necessary to hit this year's target of 7%.
Keqiang was speaking as China's closed its annual parliamentary meetings on Sunday in Beijing. He said the reforms would hurt.
"This is not nail clipping," he said. "This is like taking knife to one's own flesh."
3. Waiting for the Fed
U.S. markets have been on edge in recent days as investors have tried to figure out the timing of a rise in U.S. interest rates. The Federal Reserve starts a two-day meeting Tuesday, and markets are speculating that a critical word -- patient -- may be removed from its official policy statement. That could open the door for the Fed to raise rates in June, earlier than some hoped.
4. Economics
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index will come out at 10 a.m. ET.
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During today’s early trading session, Asian stocks were mixed as investors await Japan’s Monetary Policy statement later this evening, traders will listen closely for clues on the outcome of future interest rate decisions.
During the European session, the EUR/USD is trading with bullish sentiment and retreating from 12 year lows, on Friday the pair dropped to 1.046 as expectations for an interest rate hike boosted demand for the Dollar. Traders are now awaiting ECB’s President Draghi’s speech at 18:45 GMT, traders will listen closely to his remarks for any clues on future monetary policy.
During early U.S. trade, the Dollar Index slipped lower after U.S. data showing that NY Empire State Manufacturing Index showed a lower than expected figure. On Wednesday the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee statement will take place, this a key event for investors as it discusses interest rate decisions and factors affecting the economic outlook.
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What is it? It's among the primary tools the BOJ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions.
When? March 16th - Tentative.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the JPY to rise.
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What is it? It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
When? March 16th at 8:30pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the AUD to rise.
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What is it? President Draghi is due to speak at the SZ Finance Day 2015 "The Future of the Finance Industry - Between Growth and Regulation" summit, in Frankfurt.
As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
When? March 16th at 2:45pm Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the EUR to rise.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Focus on the Fed
It has been an exciting week of ups and downs, but now traders are turning their attention to next week's monetary policy meeting at the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Investors are expecting the Fed to raise interest rates in the next few months as the job market improves and salaries rise. The expectations for tighter monetary policy have helped the dollar rally to new highs and caused some jitters in U.S. markets.
2. New banking fine
Germany's Commerzbank (CRZBY) has agreed to pay nearly $1.5 billion to U.S. authorities to settle a case related to sanctions and money laundering. Shares in the bank were rising by about 5% in Europe as investors expressed relief that the bank could now move on after a long investigation.
Business records indicate the banking violations occurred between 2002 and 2008.
3. Economics
The Russian central bank cut interest rates Friday, down to 14% from 15%.
The central bank hiked rates to an eye-watering 17% late last year to defend the falling currency. But since January, it's been trimming rates to try to prevent a protracted economic slump.
Back in the U.S., the University of Michigan will post its consumer sentiment index at 10 a.m. ET.
4. Weekly market recap
On Thursday, markets shot up. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 260 points, the S&P 500 surged by 1.3% and the Nasdaq rose by 0.9%. That followed a sharp fall on Tuesday.
The Dow plummeted by about 333 points on Tuesday, marking its worst drop of the year.
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What is it? It checks the level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers.
Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
When? March 13th at 10:00am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.
It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
When? March 13th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions.
When? March 13th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is lower than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the change in the number of employed people during the previous month.
Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
When? March 13th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the CAD to rise.
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During today’s early trading session, Asian stocks traded higher after mixed Japanese reports. Following the release of negative Australian data showing that the Employment change during the month of February had risen by 15.6k the AUD rose against the Dollar and reached its weekly high.
During the European session, the Euro retreated slightly from 12 year lows against the Dollar, following the release of positive data from France, the French yearly and monthly HICP and the CPI all showed better than expected figures.
The Dollar index retreated from all-time highs as currency traders made gains. Furthermore, at the open of the American markets negative data releases showed that the Core Retail sales and Retail sales declined more than expected. These negative reports weighed on the Dollar, however expectations that the Fed is to raise interest rates midyear continues.
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Here are 4 tips for today's trading. This will help you decide where you should invest and what to look for:
1. Dollar takes a dip
After a storming run-up over the last year, the U.S. dollar is taking a breather.
"The dollar [is] under pressure, but that comes after what has been a relentless rise so far this month," said Simon Smith, chief economist at FxPro. "The pace of the dollar reversal suggests that more corrective activity could be in store."
The dollar has been rising as investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve could start raising interest rates soon, while many other countries are still cutting them.
2. Stock market movers -- Shake Shack, banks, Alibaba
Shake Shack (SHAK) shares fell by as much as 7% in extended trading after the company posted a wider quarterly loss than markets expected. This was its first earnings report since the company went public in February.
Shares in Citigroup (C) are rising by about 3% premarket after the bank passed the Federal Reserve's latest stress test and announced it was hiking its dividend and buying back shares. The bank failed one of the tests last year.
Meanwhile, shares in Bank of America (BAC) are slipping by about 1% based on the latest stress test results. BofA didn't fail the tests outright, but due to some "deficiencies," the Fed said it will have to re-submit its plans.
Shares in Alibaba (BABA, Tech30) could also be on the move after sources confirmed the Chinese e-commerce giant invested $200 million in messaging app Snapchat.
3. Market overview
U.S. stock futures are edging up after enduring two consecutive days of losses. European markets are mixed in early trading. Asian markets also closed the day with mixed results.
Crude oil futures and gold prices were both inching higher.
4. Earnings and economics
Dollar General (DG) is reporting ahead of the open, along with two skiing businesses, Vail Resorts (MTN) and Peak Resorts (SKIS).
The U.S. government will post weekly jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Census Bureau will post monthly retail sales at the same time.
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What is it? Governor Carney is due to speak at the Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, in Sheffield.
As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
When? March 12th at 8:45am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the announcement will hint towards higher interest rates, you can expect the GBP to rise.
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What is it? It checks the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy.
When? March 12th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is lower than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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What is it? It checks the change in the total value of sales at the retail level.
It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
When? March 12th at 8:30am Eastern Time.
Trading Tip: If the actual number is higher than the forecast, you can expect the USD to rise.
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